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2019年05月21日 21:56:13来源:120在线

  • What may soon be streaming at the Chinese site Youku Tudou are tears of relief.可能很快,中国视频网站优酷土豆便会流下如释重负的泪水。Alibaba, China’s biggest e-commerce company, has offered to buy the 82 percent of Youku that it doesn’t aly own, at a 30 percent premium to the market price. A deal would end Youku’s unprofitable run as a public company and help Alibaba realize its multiscreen strategy. The move should also create value. Though that bit is most likely an afterthought.中国最大的电子商务企业阿里巴巴提出购买优酷余下的82%股份,其出价高于市价30%。这宗交易将终止优酷作为上市公司的亏损营运,并有助阿里巴巴实现多屏战略。此举应该也能带来收入,但这应该不是主要目的。Youku is the dominant force in Chinese online — effectively the YouTube of the People’s Republic. Like YouTube, it has never reported a profit. Aside from advertising fees, Youku is now charging users to watch its best content, but that means giving them something worth watching.优酷在中国网络视频中举足轻重,实际上如同中国的YouTube。跟YouTube一样,优酷从未报告过盈利。除广告费外,优酷目前还向用户收费,收费用户能观看最精的内容,但这意味着优酷需要为用户提供有观看价值的视频。The fees Youku paid for content increased 78 percent over the last year to 744 million renminbi, or about 7 million, in the latest quarter. Larger rivals like Baidu, a search engine that also owns an online site, can swallow those costs with ease. That’s not the case for tiny Youku.在最近一个季度,优酷在内容方面的出较一年前增加了78%,达到了7.44亿元人民币(约1.17亿美元)。搜索引擎百度也拥有网络视频网站。像百度这种大型竞争对手,能轻松地承担这笔成本,但弱小的优酷就不能了。It may seem petty to consider whether the deal creates value for Alibaba shareholders, but, as it happens, it probably does. The 30 percent premium is worth around .2 billion. Yet Youku’s bandwidth costs alone — what it pays for telecoms and data storage — are an annualized 3 million. If the data colossus Alibaba can eliminate those, the savings, taxed at Youku’s 15 percent rate and capitalized, are worth more than .8 billion.这宗交易能否为阿里巴巴的股东创造价值?或许考虑这个问题会显得很小气,但这还真有可能发生。阿里巴巴给出的30%溢价大约相当于12亿美元。然而,单单是花在电信企业和数据存储上的带宽成本,优酷每年的出便达到2.13亿美元。如果数据巨头阿里巴巴能消除这方面的出并注入资本(优酷需缴纳15%的税款),便能节省超过18亿美元。Beyond that, the benefits of the deal are fairly abstract. Perhaps Alibaba will create a Chinese answer to Netflix. Perhaps it will sell more advertising spots to its online merchants. Alibaba and Youku may even be able to use data about shoppers’ online habits to create programming relevant to their activities.除此之外,这宗交易带来的收益相当抽象。或许阿里巴巴会创造一个中国版的Netflix。或许阿里巴巴会向网上店铺推销更多视频广告位。阿里巴巴和优酷甚至还可以利用购物者上网习惯的数据,制作与用户活动有关的节目。But really, who cares? Youku is less than 3 percent of the combined companies’ market value. And approval is more than likely a given, since almost 60 percent of the shares are held by Alibaba and its supporters, such as Victor Koo, a Youku founder, who will also receive an undisclosed package for staying on as chairman.不过说真的,谁在乎呢?优酷占合并后公司市值不足3%。而且阿里巴巴及其持者持有优酷近60%的股份,批准合并已如探囊取物。持者就包括优酷创始人古永锵,他将会收到条款未对外公布的补偿,以换取其留任董事长。 /201510/404663。
  • What’s going to happen to the tech world in 2016? While of course no one really knows for sure, it’s possible to make a few semieducated guesses. Here are 10 predictions for the biggest tech trends for the coming year — from the blindingly obvious to the wildly speculative.2016年科技界会有什么样的新发现?没有人可以给出肯定的答复,但这并不妨碍我们作出一些简单猜测。以下是2016年十大科技动向,其中有的是板上钉钉,有的只是大胆推测。1. Apple will unveil a new Watch and a new iPhone 苹果公司将发布新一代Apple Watch和iPhoneThis is the easiest prediction in the world, which is why we started with it (guaranteeing that at least one of these will be right).这是铁定的事实,也是我们之所以把它放在开头的原因(至少能保这十大预测有一个是真的)。Apple is expected to release Apple Watch 2.0 sometime this spring, we hope with an improved interface and a lot more apps. And next fall will see the release of the iPhone 7, which (if rumors are to be believed) will include a fingerprint sensor on the screen, wireless charging, multiple cameras, and a USB-C port instead of power or headphone jacks.苹果有望在明年春发布Apple Watch 2.0,届时其界面或许能有所改进,应用数量也能有所增加。iPhone 7将在明天秋发布,据传其在屏幕上增加了指纹传感器,还具备无线充电功能,配有多摄像头,并用USB-C接口取代了原有的电源和耳机接口。2. Apple’s dominance of tech culture will decline 苹果的统治力将有所下降Since the Second Coming of Jobs in 1997, interest in all things Apple has been climbing at a steady rate, going into hyperdrive with the release of the iPhone (2007) and then the iPad (2010). Lately, though, the products coming out of Cupertino have been less than magical and life-changing.1997年乔布斯重回苹果公司后,苹果渐渐开始吸引大众的目光,后分别于2007年和2010年推出iPhone和iPad,引起了巨大轰动。而如今虽然苹果产品层出不穷,其创意和影响力却不比当年。And for all of Tim Cook’s many fine qualities, he can’t generate a reality distortion field the way his predecessor could. Until Cook manages to pull another rabbit out of his iHat — an Apple Car? a fully integrated smart home? — the Apple mystique has clearly peaked. Nowhere to go but down.尽管库克也推出了许多优秀产品,但他却不具备前任乔布斯那样的“现实扭曲力场”,除非他也能变戏法般地弄出个Apple Car或是一体化自能家居什么的来。苹果的创意已经达到上限,现在只能走下坡路了。3. Virtual reality will finally be real — and most people will go ‘meh’ 虚拟现实或将成真,而消费者只能望洋兴叹After nearly four years of teasing us, the Oculus Rift VR headset will finally reach consumers this year, probably some time in the early spring. HTC’s Vive and Sony’s Playstation VR (formerly Morpheus) will likely appear a few months after that. And no matter how awesome they are — and odds are they will be pretty awesome — very few people will buy them.放了四年鸽子,Oculus Rift虚拟现实眼镜终于要问世了!发售时间为今年或是明年春初。HTC的Vive和索尼的Playstation VR(原名Morpheus)也将在之后的几个月问世。这都是些使人眼前为之一亮的产品,但不管这些设备多酷多棒,只有很少一部分人会选择购买。Why? They’ll likely be expensive, require vast amounts of computing power, and be limited mostly to games and porn (ewww). The fact is, after four years of hype, VR headsets can’t possibly live up to expectations. And then there’s the whole after-15-minutes-you-feel-like-puking factor (10 minutes if you’re watching porn). VR will find a niche audience, at best, for a long time to come.究其原因,这些设备主要用于游戏和色情音像(呃),拥有强大的计算能力,其价格可能会高得离谱。而另一方面,这些虚拟现实眼镜被热炒了四年,最终可能难以达到大众的期望值。这种眼镜戴上15分钟就让人忍不住想吐(如果看的是色情片只要10分钟),可想而知,在未来的很长一段时间内,这顶多只能是一种小众产品。4. AR will beat up VR and steal its lunch money 增强现实将与虚拟现实争夺市场While the world oohs, ahhs, and hurls over VR (but doesn’t buy it), Augmented Reality (AR) will infiltrate all kinds of industries, from design and engineering to architecture, education, and medicine. Why? Being less immersive — you can actually see the world around you, as well as virtual objects — makes AR much more practical.当世人还在惊叹于虚拟现实产品(但又不买)的时候,增强现实技术已开始渗透到各个领域,从建筑设计、建造,到教育行业,再到医疗行业。这是因为增强现实技术的仿真度要相对低些,人们可以获得真实的感官体验,还包括虚拟物品。这大大增强了技术的实用性。Microsoft just released a new version of its HoloLens and will begin shipping ,000 HoloLens development kits this spring. Google Glass will also emerge from the rock it’s been hiding under since its ill-fated debut, most likely aimed at industrial use.微软刚刚推出一款全新的全息眼镜,并将于明天春推出价值三千美元的开发套件。而谷歌眼镜首次问世反响不佳,在雪藏了一段时间后也将重出江湖,很可能是面向工业用途。5. Comcast will try to acquire Netflix — or possibly vice versa 康卡斯特或将收购网飞公司,亦或是被网飞公司收购Whether or not you’re a cord-cutter, streaming media is the future of entertainment — and nobody streams bigger than Netflix, which accounted for nearly 40 percent of all Internet traffic last year. Since big cable can’t beat the streamers at this game, the only thing left is for it to join them by acquisition; Comcast (2 billion valuation) and Netflix ( billion) are the most logical candidates for an arranged marriage. While it stands to reason that the larger company will swallow the smaller one, it’s not inconceivable that the reverse will happen — not unlike AOL’s acquisition of Time Warner 15 years ago, but perhaps with better results.不管你是否承认,流媒体都将是业的发展趋势。而在这方面没有谁比网飞公司做得更大了。去年网飞公司就占据了网络总流量的百分之四十。强强争斗没有结果,唯有收购这一条出路。现在康卡斯特(价值1920亿美元)和网飞公司(价值420亿美元)最有可能走到一起。虽然一般情况下是大公司吞并小公司,但也不排除相反的情况——15年前美国在线就曾收购时代华纳。但与之相比,康卡斯特和网飞的合并或许会有更好的结果。6. Antidrone technology will rise 反无人机技术将出现The only thing people love more than ing about drones is hating them — witness all the cheering when a Kentucky man blasted one out of the sky with his shotgun last July. (Not to mention all the animals that love to attack drones.) Look for companies to come up with antidrone technology that use nonballistic methods of ridding the flight zones of these pests. Let the games begin, and let the odds be ever in the antidrones’ favor.虽然人们对无人机技术充满兴趣,但却抑制不住对无人机的厌恶之感。今年七月,肯塔基州的一名男子开打下了一架无人机,引起了围观者的欢呼(更别说还有很多动物也喜欢攻击无人机了)。现在有的公司正开发反无人机技术,这种技术不用弹,而是采用了一种挤占无人机飞机空间的方法。好戏就要开始,希望这项技术真能派上用场。7. Facebook will continue to eat the world Facebook将继续主宰世界The Facebook juggernaut will continue, though most of its membership growth will be overseas. However, expect a public backlash as Facebook assumes just a bit too much control over the media it arbitrarily delivers to everyone’s feeds. How many autoplay s of bacon, egg, and cheese bboats can one person watch?随着海外用户的增加,Facebook将继续主宰世界。然而人们现在抗议Facebook管得太宽,人们不得不被迫看一些自己不想看的视频。可以统计一下,现在每个人要在Facebook上看多少次培根、鸡蛋和芝士面包的自动播放的视频?8. Cyberterrorists will attack the Internet 网络恐怖主义来袭We’ve seen targeted hack attacks on a massive scale, and we’ve seen state-sponsored cyberespionage. In 2016 we will see them converge, with a direct attack on the Internet infrastructure motivated by politics, not greed or misplaced juvenile aggression. Time to back up your data, encrypt your hard drives, and stock up on beef jerky and tinfoil.我们目睹过大规模的黑客攻击,也见识过国家持的网络间谍活动。在新的一年里它们将结合起来,在政治目的的驱动下直接对网络基础设施展开攻击,而不再是愤青们的盲目行为。所以,是时候备份数据,加密硬盘,囤积好牛肉干和锡纸了。9. There will be an Uber for friends朋友出租务将上线Need a date for a party or someone to hang with at a ballgame? Just share someone else’s. Frog Design predicts the rise of “friendship as a service” in 2016. We liked that prediction so much we decided to borrow it. Isn’t that what the sharing economy is all about?想参加聚会、想打球但却苦于找不到伴吗?完全可以从别人那租一个来!据青蛙设计公司(Frog Design)预测,“朋友出租务”将于2016年上线。有需求就可以租,这和“分享型经济”不是同一个道理吗?10. Your next boss may be an algorithm老板也许会是机器人Artificial intelligence will continue to be baked into an increasing number of devices and services. More than that, though, entire companies may be built around self-running programs, with business decisions made without any human intervention. Think we’re joking? The first decentralized organizations are aly being developed for the Ethereum Frontier network. We have met our robotic overlords, and we’d like a 10 percent raise and more flex time, please.人工智能技术将运用到更多的产品和务中去。甚至整个公司都有可能实现自动运作。通过编排程序,商业决策或许不需要人的参与。这可不是开玩笑,以太坊(Ethereum)的Frontier平台就在实行分散性运作。这么说我们的老板也许会是机器人。那么请给我加薪百分之十再给我更多的弹性时间吧,老板! /201601/420999。
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